tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 19:59 MSP → 21:57 SEA
    AS 532 · Alaska · 3h 58m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:27 SEA → 02:15 FAI +1 day
    AS 1512 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 19 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 16mMSP 19:59 to FAI 02:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.