tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Pasco via Seattle: arrives on time 47%

  1. 19:59 MSP → 21:57 SEA
    AS 532 · Alaska · 3h 58m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:44 SEA → 23:43 PSC
    AS 2403 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 59m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 19 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 44mMSP 19:59 to PSC 23:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.