tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 62%

  1. 16:36 DEN → 18:38 SEA
    AS 535 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 67% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:28 SEA → 23:18 FAI
    AS 1880 · Alaska · 3h 50m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 2 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 42mDEN 16:36 to FAI 23:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.