tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:15 AUS → 09:25 PDX
    AS 541 · Alaska · 4h 10m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:38 PDX → 13:15 SNA
    AS 588 · Alaska · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip8h 00mAUS 07:15 to SNA 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.