tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:15 AUS → 09:25 PDX
    AS 541 · Alaska · 4h 10m · 90% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:25 PDX → 14:10 OAK
    WN 4928 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 83% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 55mAUS 07:15 to OAK 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.