tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 17:23 ANC → 21:58 SEA
    AS 544 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:38 JFK +1 day
    AS 22 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 15mANC 17:23 to JFK 07:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.