tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 79%

  1. 12:05 SNA → 14:54 SEA
    AS 548 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 92% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:48 SEA → 23:59 ORD
    AS 538 · Alaska · 4h 11m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 54mSNA 12:05 to ORD 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.