tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Austin via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 12:05 SNA → 14:54 SEA
    AS 548 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 92% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:50 SEA → 23:56 AUS
    DL 848 · Delta · 4h 06m · 75% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 51mSNA 12:05 to AUS 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.