tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 14:56 MSP → 16:50 SEA
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 54m · 78% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 SEA → 22:01 SNA
    AS 631 · Alaska · 2h 51m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 05mMSP 14:56 to SNA 22:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.