tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 14:56 MSP → 16:50 SEA
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 54m · 78% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:35 SEA → 22:30 SNA
    DL 3932 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip9h 34mMSP 14:56 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.