tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 14:56 MSP → 16:50 SEA
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 54m · 78% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:59 SEA → 22:48 BZN
    DL 4039 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 52mMSP 14:56 to BZN 22:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.