tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 14:56 MSP → 16:50 SEA
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 54m · 78% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:25 SEA → 22:28 SMF
    DL 4131 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 91% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 32mMSP 14:56 to SMF 22:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.