tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 76%

  1. 14:56 MSP → 16:50 SEA
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 54m · 78% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 SEA → 22:55 MSO
    AS 2154 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 59mMSP 14:56 to MSO 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.