tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Sacramento via Portland: arrives on time 91%

  1. 21:10 OGG → 05:32 PDX
    AS 558 · Alaska · 5h 22m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 PDX → 09:48 SMF +1 day
    AS 485 · Alaska · 1h 33m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 38mOGG 21:10 to SMF 09:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.