tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 63%

  1. 21:10 OGG → 05:32 PDX
    AS 558 · Alaska · 5h 22m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:19 PDX → 07:17 SEA +1 day
    AS 499 · Alaska · 58m · 93% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 07mOGG 21:10 to SEA 07:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.