tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:03 MSO → 07:45 SEA
    AS 561 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 SEA → 13:57 MSP
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 22m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 54mMSO 07:03 to MSP 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.