tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:03 MSO → 07:45 SEA
    AS 561 · Alaska · 1h 42m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:42 SEA → 14:04 SFO
    AS 655 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 01mMSO 07:03 to SFO 14:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.