tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:02 MCI → 08:05 SEA
    AS 563 · Alaska · 4h 03m · 90% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:10 SEA → 12:18 SMF
    DL 4125 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip8h 16mMCI 06:02 to SMF 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.