tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Nashville via Seattle: arrives on time 46%

  1. 14:05 ONT → 16:45 SEA
    AS 567 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 77% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:31 SEA → 23:59 BNA
    AS 416 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 54mONT 14:05 to BNA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.