tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 14:05 ONT → 16:45 SEA
    AS 567 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 77% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 SEA → 20:00 SJC
    AS 539 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 55mONT 14:05 to SJC 20:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.