tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 18%

  1. 14:05 ONT → 16:45 SEA
    AS 567 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 77% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 SEA → 19:52 SFO
    AS 791 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 28% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip5h 47mONT 14:05 to SFO 19:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.