tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 52%

  1. 18:29 EWR → 21:37 SAN
    AS 573 · Alaska · 6h 08m · 75% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:24 SAN → 23:54 SJC
    AS 1624 · Alaska · 1h 30m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 25mEWR 18:29 to SJC 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.