tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 17:26 ONT → 20:06 SEA
    AS 575 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 61% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:15 SEA → 07:38 JFK +1 day
    AS 22 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 11h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 144 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 09m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip11h 12mONT 17:26 to JFK 07:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.