tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Santa Rosa via Portland: arrives on time 60%

  1. 11:04 SAN → 13:43 PDX
    AS 576 · Alaska · 2h 39m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 PDX → 16:15 STS
    AS 3483 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 11mSAN 11:04 to STS 16:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.