tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Bozeman via San Diego: arrives on time 56%

  1. 07:32 PDX → 10:05 SAN
    AS 577 · Alaska · 2h 33m · 80% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:38 SAN → 15:24 BZN
    AS 2221 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 46m · 58% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 52mPDX 07:32 to BZN 15:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.