tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 13:01 ORD → 15:42 SEA
    AS 579 · Alaska · 4h 41m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:35 SEA → 22:30 SNA
    DL 3932 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 53m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip11h 29mORD 13:01 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.