tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 13:21 BUR → 16:03 SEA
    AS 580 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 SEA → 19:53 PHX
    AS 744 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 32mBUR 13:21 to PHX 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.