tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 08:02 ORD → 10:37 SEA
    AS 587 · Alaska · 4h 35m · 64% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 SEA → 15:31 SFO
    AS 680 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 69% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip9h 29mORD 08:02 to SFO 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.