tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 08:02 ORD → 10:37 SEA
    AS 587 · Alaska · 4h 35m · 64% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 SEA → 16:41 SNA
    AS 773 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 39mORD 08:02 to SNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.