tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Eugene via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 08:02 ORD → 10:37 SEA
    AS 587 · Alaska · 4h 35m · 64% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:37 SEA → 13:01 EUG
    AS 3360 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 24m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Eugene is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 59mORD 08:02 to EUG 13:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.