tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Seattle via Santa Ana: arrives on time 85%

  1. 10:38 PDX → 13:15 SNA
    AS 588 · Alaska · 2h 37m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Santa Ana (SNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:45 SNA → 17:32 SEA
    AS 760 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 88% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 54mPDX 10:38 to SEA 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.