tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Newark via Portland: arrives on time 89%

  1. 18:09 SNA → 20:31 PDX
    AS 589 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:31 PDX → 05:59 EWR +1 day
    AS 1631 · Alaska · 5h 28m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 50mSNA 18:09 to EWR 05:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.