tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Portland: arrives on time 88%

  1. 18:09 SNA → 20:31 PDX
    AS 589 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:35 PDX → 06:55 JFK +1 day
    DL 2139 · Delta · 5h 20m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 46mSNA 18:09 to JFK 06:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.