tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Dulles via Portland: arrives on time 88%

  1. 18:09 SNA → 20:31 PDX
    AS 589 · Alaska · 2h 22m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:30 PDX → 07:32 IAD +1 day
    UA 498 · United · 5h 02m · 92% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 23mSNA 18:09 to IAD 07:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.