tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → San Diego via Seattle: arrives on time 35%

  1. 14:46 RNO → 16:43 SEA
    AS 601 · Alaska · 1h 57m · 72% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:53 SEA → 20:49 SAN
    AS 1388 · Alaska · 2h 56m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 03mRNO 14:46 to SAN 20:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.