tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 14:46 RNO → 16:43 SEA
    AS 601 · Alaska · 1h 57m · 72% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 SEA → 18:56 PDX
    AS 2302 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 10mRNO 14:46 to PDX 18:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.