tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Oakland via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 11:23 PHX → 14:30 SEA
    AS 603 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 SEA → 19:33 OAK
    AS 706 · Alaska · 2h 08m · 77% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 10mPHX 11:23 to OAK 19:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.