tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 11:23 PHX → 14:30 SEA
    AS 603 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:58 SEA → 18:37 ANC
    AS 99 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 14mPHX 11:23 to ANC 18:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.