tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Medford via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 11:23 PHX → 14:30 SEA
    AS 603 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:47 SEA → 19:13 MFR
    AS 2037 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 26m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 152 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 50mPHX 11:23 to MFR 19:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.