tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Santa Rosa via Seattle: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:02 ONT → 08:44 SEA
    AS 607 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:54 SEA → 11:58 STS
    AS 1321 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 56mONT 06:02 to STS 11:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.