tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 62%

  1. 06:02 ONT → 08:44 SEA
    AS 607 · Alaska · 2h 42m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:01 SEA → 12:01 SMF
    AS 1380 · Alaska · 2h 00m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 59mONT 06:02 to SMF 12:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.