tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 18:53 PHX → 22:00 SEA
    AS 611 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SEA → 02:40 ANC +1 day
    AS 1363 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 47mPHX 18:53 to ANC 02:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.