tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Redmond via Seattle: arrives on time 64%

  1. 18:53 PHX → 22:00 SEA
    AS 611 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 81% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:53 SEA → 23:59 RDM
    AS 2094 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 06m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 06mPHX 18:53 to RDM 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.