tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 14:50 STL → 17:17 SEA
    AS 618 · Alaska · 4h 27m · 87% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 SEA → 22:55 LAS
    AS 704 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 05mSTL 14:50 to LAS 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.