tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 5%

  1. 18:36 SEA → 20:48 SFO
    AS 619 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:43 SFO → 23:21 LAX
    AS 3037 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 38m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection18%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 82% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time5%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (18%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip4h 45mSEA 18:36 to LAX 23:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.