tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Tampa via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:03 SFO → 08:13 SEA
    AS 620 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:21 SEA → 17:51 TPA
    AS 262 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip8h 48mSFO 06:03 to TPA 17:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.