tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:03 SFO → 08:13 SEA
    AS 620 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 SEA → 17:55 JFK
    AS 34 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 76% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 52mSFO 06:03 to JFK 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.