tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Indianapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:03 SFO → 08:13 SEA
    AS 620 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:09 SEA → 16:16 IND
    AS 500 · Alaska · 4h 07m · 79% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 13mSFO 06:03 to IND 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.