tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:03 SFO → 08:13 SEA
    AS 620 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:51 SEA → 17:19 MSP
    AS 509 · Alaska · 3h 28m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 16mSFO 06:03 to MSP 17:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.