tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Reno via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:03 SFO → 08:13 SEA
    AS 620 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 SEA → 11:03 RNO
    AS 3079 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 53m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 00mSFO 06:03 to RNO 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.